PAGASA warns a 'very strong' El Niño will peak in December and last through the first half of 2027, hitting the Philippines with drought and flooding.

The monsoon season brings heavy rains to western regions while the rest of the country faces prolonged dry spells. This stark contrast in weather patterns could exacerbate existing water management issues and agricultural challenges, leading to significant socio-economic fallout.

Western areas will likely see increased flooding, while much of the Philippines will experience severe drought conditions due to El Niño's influence.

The long-term vulnerability includes heightened risk of prolonged droughts affecting agriculture and drinking water supplies. Coastal erosion could worsen in flooded regions, further degrading local ecosystems.

What is the long-term climate outlook for this region?

Communities must prepare for more frequent and severe drought conditions that will strain agricultural yields and freshwater resources. Infrastructure resilience needs to improve to handle increased flooding risks in western regions.

The outlook remains challenging with increasing climatic extremes.